Dr. Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl

As a Visiting Fellow at TraCe, I examine transformations of conflict causes over time as well as expectations regarding interventions to counter Russia in the wake of the war in Ukraine.

In my main projects, I investigate the interaction between civil war belligerents: I examine how quagmire can result from the interaction between the warring parties, taking into account international politics. I also look at warfighting choices, focusing on alliance behavior and the operational goals of fighting. Finally, I study the behavioral determinants of individual actions in situations of group conflict. My empirical focus is on the Middle East, especially Lebanon and Syria. With TraCe, I will (1) compare civil war causes from 1990-2000 and 2001-present and (2) consider a different context: Using my new public opinion survey in Finland, I will examine citizens’ desired national and international security responses to potential Russian attacks following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

Research Area Forms: 1.1 Findings on the Forms, Causes and Consequences of Political Violence